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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 80% Map 1 Winner 68% Map 2 Winner 68% Map 3 Winner 68% Volume: $168K Liquidity: $593K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Map 1 Winner68%
Map 2 Winner68%
Map 3 Winner68%
O/U 3.5 Games66%
Map 4 Winner64%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)59%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)48%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)45%
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)32%
O/U 4.5 Games31%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to counter-strike: spirit vs mouz (bo5) - blast bounty playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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