Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket prices this Dota 2 contract at **100% YES** today, which means the market is fully aligned with Yellow Submarine being the recorded winner rather than Execration on the Polygon-based conditional token contract settled in USDC. The event is listed as a best-of-three in Games of the Future Group A, with fixtures pages placing the start at 05:00 UTC, while the market description references a 1:00 AM ET scheduled time, so traders should watch for whether the on-chain resolution follows the actual official match record and not the broadcast timetable alone.[1][7][14][18]

That kind of near-certain pricing usually reflects either a match already underway, a result posted by a reliable scoreboard, or a clear market expectation that settlement is effectively decided. Comparable listings for this fixture show both live coverage and finished-result pages, including one source marking Yellow Submarine as having beaten Execration 2-0 in a BO3, which is the sort of outcome that would make a 100% YES price unsurprising if the market has already incorporated it.[5][11] A separate betting preview also had Yellow Submarine favoured pre-match, with decimal odds of 1.7 versus 2.05 for Execration, reinforcing the direction of sentiment before play.[13]

For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: the official bracket status, any late schedule changes, and whether the series is completed within the market’s settlement rules. Because Polymarket resolves to the winner only if the match is played and produces one, a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 outcome instead, regardless of crowd conviction. In practice, the relevant checks are the organiser’s schedule updates, live-score feeds, and final score confirmation from a source that records BO3 results rather than merely listing the match as live or upcoming.[1][7][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.