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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 68% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 57% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $795K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
First Blood in Game 2?43%
First Blood in Game 1?43%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game 1 Winner19%
Game 2 Winner19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Match Winner11%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors6%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: edward gaming vs anyone's legend (bo3) - lpl group ascend stands at 68% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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