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LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $282K Liquidity: $127K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this BO3 at **0% YES** for Eintracht Spandau, which in practice means the contract is trading as if ROSSMANN Centaurs are overwhelmingly favoured to win the match on Polygon-settled conditional tokens in USDC. That is at odds with some pre-match comparison pages, which still show a balanced 50/50 split, but the live market has already incorporated the fact that these sides met earlier in the summer and ROSSMANN won that encounter 1-0[2][4][10].

For historical context, this is not a pure long-shot market in the competitive sense: the teams have a short head-to-head record, with Eintracht Spandau leading 3-2 overall, while ROSSMANN took the most recent meeting on 1 July 2026[4][5][10]. Earlier 2026 results also cut both ways, which is why model-style previews have treated the pairing as closer than the 0% print suggests[4][5]. In prediction-market terms, that gap usually means traders are leaning heavily on current form, line-up confidence, or unseen information rather than the broader series history.

The key catalysts are straightforward: whether the match actually starts and finishes as a BO3 within the seven-day settlement window, and whether the published schedule remains intact. GosuGamers and Strafe both list the fixture for 30 July, with a 15:00 UTC start, and note it as Group A in the Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026[2][4]. Because Polymarket resolution depends on the official result, any postponement, cancellation, or format change matters as much as the on-server scoreline itself; a delayed or unplayed match would push settlement towards 50-50 under the market rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - … on Polymarket Alternative UK

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