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LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $548K Liquidity: $812K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)0%

Market context

Polymarket is effectively pricing a **near-lock on KT Rolster Challengers**, with the contract at **100% YES** and the order book implying no meaningful disagreement on the likely winner. In Polymarket terms, traders are buying and selling **USDC**-denominated shares on **Polygon**, and the market settles through the platform’s **conditional token** design: if KT win the BO3, YES pays out; if DN SOOPers Challengers win, or if the match is cancelled or otherwise fails to produce a result within the settlement rules, NO is favoured by the resolution terms.

The useful comparison is the recent head-to-head. KT beat DN SOOPers Challengers **2-0** in late April in the same LCK Challengers League setting, and that result was also recorded across multiple results sites and match trackers. That creates a clean read for market context: this is not a coin-flip matchup, but one where prior direct form already points one way, and the current 100% print suggests traders see the rematch as largely a repeat of that earlier series rather than a fresh upset spot.[1][2][7][12]

For traders, the main catalysts are not live macro factors but **confirmation risk** and **schedule risk**: whether the series starts on time, whether the LCK Challengers League posting remains intact, and whether any late rescheduling changes the settlement window. Polymarket’s contract text makes the resolution binary on the match result, so the practical watchlist is official league scheduling, broadcast/start-time confirmations, and any announcement that the series will not be played as planned.[12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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