Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket’s contract is effectively pricing **Team Solid** at an extreme implied chance today, even though the live event data around this pairing points to a more normal BO1 contest between two Brazilian Circuito Desafiante sides. The relevant market settles on the Polygon chain in USDC through conditional tokens, so the practical question is whether the match result is posted before the 7-day window closes; if not, the contract can still resolve 50-50 under the market rules.
The cleanest comparable read comes from their recent head-to-head. Vivo Keyd Stars Academy beat Team Solid 1-0 in April’s Circuito Desafiante meeting, which gives traders a concrete reference point rather than treating this as an abstract favourite-vs-underdog spot[1][2]. External preview and betting pages for the later July/August fixture also leaned towards Vivo Keyd Stars Academy, with one bookmaker listing them around 1.31 and Team Solid around 3.20, while another preview showed similar odds and a strong vote share for Vivo Keyd Stars Academy[6][9][11]. That makes a 100% YES-style price on Team Solid look detached from the surrounding market evidence.
The main catalysts to watch are simple but important: whether the fixture is still officially scheduled, whether the match actually starts, and whether any rescheduling pushes it past the 7-day settlement threshold. Sofascore and other esports fixtures pages list the match as part of Circuito Desafiante regular-season play, but those pages have also shown date inconsistencies around 29-30 July and a separate live-result record for the April meeting, so the exact published schedule matters for resolution risk[1][4][5][12]. If the organiser confirms a walkover, postponement, or cancellation, Polymarket’s event rules become more relevant than the on-server scoreline.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - C… on Polymarket Alternative UK
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