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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Any Player Quadra Kill 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Match Winner 0% Volume: $150K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport at **0% YES** today, which makes the contract look effectively dead on the board even though the match is still listed in the LFL Summer 2026 regular season. The event is a **single-game, best-of-one** League of Legends fixture, and the market settles directly from the result: a ZYB win pays out YES, an Ici Japon Corp. win pays out NO, while no game or a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date would send it to 50-50 through the contract’s conditional tokens on Polygon and USDC rails.

That 0% print is best read against a prior meeting that already went ZYB’s way. Strafe’s match page records one previous head-to-head between the sides, with ZYB beating Ici Japon Corp. 1-0 on 8 April 2026, and the same source also shows ZYB coming into this summer meeting with a modest recent win rate. Other live match listings point in different directions on pricing, with Bo3.gg showing ZYB around 1.635 and Ici Japon Corp. around 2.188 on decimal odds, which implies a close contest rather than a near-lock for either side.[2][4]

The main trader catalysts are practical rather than narrative: whether the scheduled 19:00 UTC start actually happens, whether the organiser keeps the fixture on the published Summer Round 1 slate, and whether any late roster or broadcast changes affect a BO1 that settles immediately on completion.[2][6][14] Sofascore and other match trackers still list the pairing as scheduled for 5 August 2026, but the contract’s outcome will ultimately turn on the official match result, not pre-match market colour.[1][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: ZYB Esport vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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