"Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Paramount Pictures will release the seventh instalment of its Scary Movie franchise on 6 June 2026, with opening weekend box office performance measured across the three-day period of 5–7 June. The Numbers will serve as the authoritative source for final domestic figures, settling once studio estimates are replaced by actual reported grosses. Current pricing across major platforms reflects substantial uncertainty: Polymarket shows 0% implied probability, whilst comparable books like Kalshi and Betfair may display divergent decimal odds reflecting different liquidity pools and fee structures—Polymarket's 2% maker fee versus Betfair's variable commission creates pricing friction that occasionally widens spreads on lower-volume entertainment markets.

The Scary Movie franchise has declined significantly in commercial performance since its 2000–2003 peak. The most recent entry, Scary Movie 5 (2013), opened to $15.1 million domestically, whilst the 2000 original grossed $42.3 million. Horror-comedies have faced particular headwinds post-2020, with franchise revivals showing mixed returns; the 2022 Scream reboot opened to $30.7 million but faced front-loaded drops. A 16-year gap since the last theatrical release introduces material uncertainty around audience appetite and brand recognition erosion.

Paramount has not yet announced a formal marketing campaign or release strategy details as of late 2025. The June release window positions the film against established summer tentpoles and mid-budget competition. Traders should monitor Paramount's Q1 2026 earnings calls for franchise commentary, any trailer release timing, and comparative performance data from other legacy horror-comedy properties launching in the same quarter. KYC requirements vary significantly across platforms—Polymarket operates with lighter verification than Kalshi's regulated futures-equivalent status—which may affect trader accessibility depending on jurisdiction.

Methodology

This page compares "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Alternative UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.