Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner | 54% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet | 32% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 30% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of national bank open: luca van assche vs titouan droguet. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Titouan Droguet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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