Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san marino: mili poljicak vs enrico dalla valle. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Enrico Dalla Valle in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Valle on Polymarket Alternative UK
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