Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Indiana vs. Michigan | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 100% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Indiana vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Michigan O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Indiana O/U 3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of indiana vs. michigan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Michigan, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.6M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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