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Ole Miss vs. Florida

Five-platform snapshot of "Ole Miss vs. Florida" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 40.5 88% O/U 44.5 82% O/U 50.5 70% O/U 46.5 68% Volume: $281K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Ole Miss vs. Florida

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 40.588%
O/U 44.582%
O/U 50.570%
O/U 46.568%
1Q O/U 7.567%
3Q O/U 7.566%
4Q O/U 12.566%
O/U 52.563%
O/U 54.561%
Spread -0.559%
Spread -1.559%
2H O/U 30.559%
Spread -2.556%
O/U 56.556%
1H O/U 27.556%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.556%
1H Spread -0.554%
O/U 58.553%
3Q O/U 10.553%
1H Spread -1.552%
2H O/U 27.552%
1H O/U 24.551%
1Q O/U 10.551%
2Q O/U 11.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
Florida 1H O/U 16.551%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -24.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 66.550%
1H O/U 36.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 36.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q O/U 14.550%
2Q O/U 17.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
4Q O/U 21.550%
Ole Miss O/U 22.550%
Ole Miss O/U 25.550%
Ole Miss O/U 31.550%
Florida O/U 26.550%
Florida O/U 29.550%
Florida O/U 35.550%
Florida O/U 38.550%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.550%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.550%
Florida 1H O/U 18.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.550%
Florida 2H O/U 14.550%
Florida 2H O/U 16.550%
Florida 2H O/U 18.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Florida O/U 3.550%
Ole Miss O/U 3.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Florida O/U 4.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss vs. Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -3.549%
3Q O/U 13.549%
1Q O/U 13.548%
Florida 1H O/U 14.548%
Spread -4.546%
O/U 60.546%
Ole Miss O/U 28.546%
1Q Spread -0.545%
Spread -5.544%
1H O/U 30.544%
1H Spread -3.543%
2Q Spread -2.543%
Florida O/U 32.543%
1H Moneyline43%
Spread -6.542%
O/U 62.542%
2H Spread -3.542%
Spread -0.541%
2H Spread -2.541%
Ole Miss vs. Florida40%
1H Spread -0.540%
3Q Spread -2.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
Spread -1.539%
1H O/U 33.539%
O/U 64.538%
1H Spread -1.538%
2Q O/U 20.538%
Spread -2.537%
1Q Spread -3.537%
2Q Spread -3.537%
Spread -7.535%
4Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -3.533%
3Q Spread -3.533%
Spread -9.532%
1H Spread -3.530%
Spread -8.529%
Spread -6.528%
Spread -4.528%
Spread -10.528%
Spread -11.528%
Spread -21.528%
O/U 68.528%
1Q O/U 16.528%
3Q O/U 16.527%
Ole Miss O/U 34.527%
1Q Spread -3.526%
Spread -17.525%
2Q O/U 23.525%
Spread -14.522%
1Q O/U 19.520%
3Q O/U 19.520%
Spread -9.519%
O/U 70.519%
Spread -12.518%
O/U 72.518%
O/U 74.518%
Spread -20.517%
O/U 78.516%
Spread -10.515%
O/U 76.515%
Spread -13.514%
O/U 80.512%
Spread -12.511%
Spread -16.510%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ole miss vs. florida stands at 88% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Florida, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 40.5 at 88% for "Ole Miss vs. Florida".

O/U 40.5 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $281K.

Methodology

We track Ole Miss vs. Florida across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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