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Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 99% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-3.5) vs Mindfreak (+3.5) 90% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $288K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-3.5) vs Mindfreak (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Mindfreak (-3.5) vs Rooster (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-6.5) vs Mindfreak (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Match Winner68%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-3.5) vs Mindfreak (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Mindfreak (-6.5) vs Rooster (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-9.5) vs Mindfreak (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-12.5) vs Mindfreak (+12.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-3.5) vs Mindfreak (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rooster (-6.5) vs Mindfreak (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: MF (-1.5) vs Rooster (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: rooster vs mindfreak (bo3) - dfrag open series #6 playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Rooster and Mindfreak in the Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 6:00…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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