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Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 61% Any Player Ultra Kill 53% Ends in Daytime 51% Ends in Daytime 51% Volume: $792K Liquidity: $512K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?61%
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Match Winner48%
Any Player Rampage48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks39%
Any Player Ultra Kill39%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks39%
Any Player Ultra Kill39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)30%
Any Player Rampage24%
Any Player Rampage24%

Market context

The Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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