Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sunderland AFC will host Chelsea FC in a Premier League fixture on 24 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:00 AM ET (16:00 BST). The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in Chelsea's superiority or minimal trading volume on this particular market cluster. Polymarket's current display of zero probability suggests either no YES contracts have traded or the book has collapsed to a floor price; Kalshi and Betfair typically show decimal odds that make sub-1% probabilities visible as fractional values (e.g. 1000/1), whereas Smarkets' exchange model would require a backer willing to lay such odds. The fee structures diverge meaningfully here: Polymarket charges 2% on net winnings, Kalshi applies a flat commission on both sides, whilst Betfair's exchange model charges only the backer's side, making it cheaper to test extreme-probability positions.

Historical context matters. Sunderland have finished outside the top six in each of the past four seasons and were relegated to the Championship in 2017, whilst Chelsea have won the Premier League four times since 2014. Direct head-to-head records show Chelsea winning 68% of meetings since 2000. However, late-season fixtures often feature rotated squads and reduced intensity, particularly for teams already secure in their league position by late May.

Traders should monitor team form in April and early May, confirmed squad availability, and whether either side has secured European qualification or faces relegation pressure. Fixture congestion—particularly if Chelsea contest European finals—could shift probabilities materially. The settlement window closes 24 May at 15:00 UTC, allowing only post-match settlement; live-trading opportunities will be constrained to the 90-minute window itself.

Methodology

This page compares Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.