Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, los cabos open: jenson brooksby vs corentin moutet stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Corentin Moutet in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page reviews Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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