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Ohio State vs. Texas

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Ohio State vs. Texas" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Alternative UK.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 90% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.590%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.582%
O/U 38.576%
Texas O/U 18.575%
2Q O/U 7.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Ohio State O/U 17.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
4Q O/U 7.569%
2H Moneyline67%
2Q Moneyline67%
3Q Moneyline67%
4Q Moneyline67%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 21.563%
Texas O/U 2.562%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
Texas O/U 22.561%
O/U 46.560%
2Q O/U 10.560%
O/U 47.557%
Ohio State O/U 2.557%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
1Q O/U 7.556%
4Q O/U 10.556%
O/U 48.555%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
2Q O/U 13.552%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
Texas O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
1Q Moneyline49%
Texas 1H O/U 15.549%
1Q Spread -3.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
1Q Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
2Q Spread -2.544%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
1Q O/U 10.544%
O/U 52.543%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
Spread -3.542%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
3Q O/U 12.542%
3Q Spread -0.541%
3Q Spread -2.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
3Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
1H Spread -3.539%
1Q O/U 13.539%
O/U 54.538%
Ohio State O/U 27.538%
1H O/U 27.538%
2Q O/U 16.538%
Spread -4.537%
4Q Spread -2.537%
2Q Spread -2.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
1Q Spread -3.537%
2Q Spread -3.537%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
1Q Spread -2.536%
1H Spread -3.536%
O/U 56.535%
Ohio State O/U 3.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
4Q Spread -3.535%
3Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -6.533%
Texas O/U 30.532%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
2Q Spread -3.532%
4Q Spread -3.532%
4Q O/U 16.532%
Spread -5.531%
Spread -4.531%
1H O/U 30.531%
3Q Spread -3.531%
O/U 58.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
Spread -6.528%
2Q O/U 19.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.524%
1Q O/U 16.524%
4Q O/U 19.524%
Spread -8.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -8.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -27.516%
Spread -11.516%
O/U 66.515%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
Spread -34.514%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -24.513%
Spread -12.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -15.59%
Spread -31.58%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -18.55%
Spread -19.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Ohio State vs. Texas. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

We track Ohio State vs. Texas across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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