Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Zhejiang and Shandong Taishan meet in the Chinese Super League, and the “more markets” question is being priced with an already saturated 100% YES crowd view. That is usually a sign the contract is less about direction and more about whether any valid alternate settlement path exists. The recent comparable record is mixed but not extreme: the last league meeting finished 2-2 in October 2025, while broader head-to-head data shows Shandong have had the edge overall, with sources ranging from 12 wins for Shandong to 8 for Zhejiang and several draws across roughly 25-31 meetings. For a platform comparison, Polymarket-style yes/no pricing at 100% compresses nuance; on Kalshi or Betfair the same underlying expectation would typically be expressed through a decimal price or fractional implied probability, with the practical gap often coming from fees, market liquidity, and whether US-style KYC limits access.
For traders, the main catalysts are not match strength so much as settlement mechanics: lineups, start-time confirmation, and whether the listed fixture proceeds exactly as scheduled at 8:00 AM ET. Recent previews from sources such as ESPN and SoccerPunter point to Shandong’s stronger recent form and Zhejiang’s lower league position, but those factors matter only if the contract depends on match completion or the existence of listed “more” markets rather than the result itself. On exchange-style venues such as Betfair or Smarkets, fee structure can materially change the effective break-even, while Polymarket pricing may look cleaner but still depends on whether the underlying event and all referenced sub-markets are formally posted and settled as expected.
Methodology
We read Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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