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CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

CD Concepción (-1.5) 100% CD Concepción (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $484K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CD Concepción (-1.5)100%
CD Concepción (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
CD Concepción O/U 0.5100%
CD Concepción O/U 1.5100%
CD Concepción O/U 2.5100%
CD Concepción 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Concepción 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Concepción 1st Half O/U 1.590%
CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)0%
CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CD Universidad Católica O/U 0.50%
CD Universidad Católica O/U 1.50%
CD Universidad Católica O/U 2.50%
CD Universidad Católica 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CD Universidad Católica 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CD Concepción 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
CD Universidad Católica 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
CD Universidad Católica 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **more markets** contract on CD Concepción vs CD Universidad Católica at a crowd-implied **100% YES**, so the market is effectively treating the remaining settlement path as fully resolved in favour of at least one additional listed outcome being true. On Polymarket, the trade is settled in USDC and represented through conditional tokens on Polygon, so the live price is less a view on the match in the abstract than a read on whether the contract’s specific conditions will clear by the settlement window ending at 16:30 UTC. [10][12]

That near-certain print sits alongside a broader pre-match consensus that already leaned towards Universidad Católica, with mainstream odds and model-based previews giving the visitors the edge and several markets pointing to goals rather than a tight, low-event game. ESPN’s odds feed had Universidad Católica favoured, while third-party prediction sites placed the away side around the low-to-mid 50s in win probability and also flagged both-teams-to-score as plausible; historical H2H-style stat pages likewise show a profile where both teams have been involved in scoring patterns often enough to keep “more markets” lines active. [2][4][7][14][17]

For a trader watching the contract, the practical catalysts are the match sheet itself, any late team news, and whether the fixture kicks off and completes on schedule, because a market with a 100% YES price is usually vulnerable more to settlement mechanics than to marginal pre-match opinion. The key dependency is whether the underlying Chile Primera game proceeds cleanly at the listed 12:30 pm ET start; once line-ups are confirmed and the clock starts, the only real risk is interruption, postponement, or a results feed mismatch against the settlement criteria. [9][10][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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