1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this exact-score contract at **0% YES**, which means the market is effectively assigning no live weight to any listed scoreline, even though the match between 1. FC Köln and Real Sociedad is on the calendar and the contract resolves off the final score only, with the usual football format caveat for 90 minutes, stoppage time, or extra periods if they are used. On Polymarket, the position settles in **USDC** on **Polygon** via conditional tokens, so the practical question is whether any listed score can still be created by the outcome pathway before the settlement window closes on 7 August 2026.

For context, the comparable shape of this market is a friendly with plenty of variance and limited line-up certainty. Recent form data shows Köln have been involved in high-scoring pre-season and end-of-season games, while Real Sociedad’s recent friendlies and league results also include both narrow and open scorelines, which is exactly the sort of backdrop that makes exact-score contracts thinly populated across the book. Historical head-to-head data from UEFA is sparse, with the sides having met only once in Europe, so traders have to lean more on current team state than on a meaningful direct sample.[15][1][3]

The catalysts to watch are mundane but decisive: official team announcements, late injury or rotation news, and whether the fixture kicks off on the published schedule without format changes or cancellation. Live match listings from major score providers already show the game as scheduled for 8 August 2026, but friendlies can still shift in timing, squad depth, or even match length, and that matters more in an exact-score market than in a simple win/lose contract.[1][2][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.