The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit** at **100% YES** today, so the contract is effectively behaving like a settled certainty in USDC terms on Polygon, even though the event itself is the women’s Hundred match scheduled for 4 August 2026. On Polymarket, the conditional token resolves to YES if an official on-field winner is declared, including DLS, over-rate penalties, a Super Over, or a forfeit/walkover under the competition’s playing conditions.

That near-certain price sits in line with the recent head-to-head and match-state context. Sunrisers Leeds have already beaten London Spirit in the same 2026 women’s fixture by five wickets with two balls left, after bowling Spirit out for 136-7 and chasing 142-5 at Headingley.[7][9] Earlier comparable results in the same rivalry also point to competitive but not chaotic outcomes: Sunrisers won a tighter meeting by five wickets in 2025, while other listings show London Spirit can still post middling totals, but not necessarily enough to shift a market once a result is effectively locked in.[1][8]

For traders, the practical catalysts are the final score, any interruption that brings DLS into play, and whether an official result is ever confirmed by the competition. The market is already beyond the match date, so the main dependency is not the on-field cricket itself but the publication of the final official result used for resolution, which Polymarket typically ties to the competition’s declared outcome and match statistics.[19] In this case, there is no real live-event uncertainty left to price, unless an exceptional administrative issue affects the recorded result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.