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Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 99% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $245K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Match Winner65%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.513%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5)2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+9.5)2%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.52%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Betclic Apogee Esports and Liquid in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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