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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 90% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $410K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs Nexus (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NXS (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nexus (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Nexus and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clut… on Polymarket Alternative UK

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