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York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Crawley Town FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $150K Liquidity: $632K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Crawley Town FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC O/U 1.5100%
Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
York City FC (-1.5)0%
York City FC (-2.5)0%
Crawley Town FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
York City FC O/U 0.50%
York City FC O/U 1.50%
York City FC O/U 2.50%
Crawley Town FC O/U 2.50%
York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

York City host Crawley Town in the EFL Cup preliminary round, with the match listed for 3 August at 18:30 UTC at York’s LNER Community Stadium. On Polymarket, the contract is currently priced at 0% YES, so the market is effectively saying there is no consensus yet on any of the “more markets” outcomes being settled in the relevant way before the window closes at 18:30 UTC. Because the contract is USDC-settled on Polygon through conditional tokens, traders are usually watching not only the fixture itself but the exact market wording, result timestamp and any late changes to competition administration.

That 0% print is easier to read against comparable EFL Cup preliminaries than as a statement on the football alone. York are back in the EFL structure and Crawley are the sort of league opponent that makes these early-round ties hard to price cleanly, especially when there is limited recent head-to-head data and the market is tied to a specific settlement rule rather than a simple match result. Similar cups often move late when the line-up confirms or a broadcast listing changes the perceived kick-off, which can matter more than pre-match narratives in thin contracts.

For a trader, the main catalysts are straightforward: official team sheets, any late postponement or schedule shift, and the exact interpretation of the “more markets” condition against the 18:30 UTC settlement deadline. The BBC noted York v Crawley as one of the preliminary ties opening the 2026-27 season, while fixtures listings also show the match on the same day with kick-off times that have been published in local and UTC formats, so timestamp precision is the key dependency here.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports