Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026, with kickoff at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any result not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 100% implied probability across platforms suggests either extremely limited liquidity or a technical artefact; Polymarket's AMM mechanism and Kalshi's order-book model often diverge on low-volume friendlies, with Kalshi typically requiring deeper order flow before accepting substantial positions. Betfair's lay functionality and Smarkets' commission structure (4% versus Polymarket's 2%) create different break-even thresholds for traders hedging across books.

Historical precedent for Palestine–Kenya fixtures is sparse; the nations have not met competitively in recent FIFA records, making comparable score distributions difficult to establish. Kenya's recent friendly results have ranged from 0–2 defeats to 1–1 draws, whilst Palestine's fixture frequency remains limited. The absence of head-to-head data means traders are pricing largely on relative FIFA rankings and squad depth rather than empirical patterns.

Settlement hinges on match confirmation and completion. FIFA's fixture calendar for June 2026 remains subject to confederation scheduling; any postponement keeps the market open indefinitely, whilst cancellation would trigger "Any Other Score" resolution. Traders should monitor official Palestine Football Association and Kenya Football Federation announcements, as friendly schedules often shift with international window adjustments. The settlement window closing 6 June 2026 at 12:30 PM ET provides a narrow margin for post-match resolution across time zones.

Methodology

This page compares Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative UK routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Alternative UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative UK?

Zero. Polymarket Alternative UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.