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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Charlotte FC (-1.5) 100% Charlotte FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $425K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Charlotte FC (-1.5)100%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this “More Markets” contract at **100% YES** today, which on the platform means the market is effectively already treating the relevant extra market or condition as locked in rather than uncertain. The underlying fixture is Charlotte FC vs Pumas UNAM in the Leagues Cup, scheduled for 4 August at 8:00 PM ET, and settlement runs to 5 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC, so holders are really watching the on-chain outcome flow in USDC on Polygon through the contract’s conditional tokens rather than the football match in the abstract.[7][8]

For comparison, these two clubs had no meaningful head-to-head history available in the public match data before this tie, so traders have to lean on broader team context rather than a direct rivalry sample.[2][8][11] Charlotte came in with mixed recent MLS form, while Pumas arrived with stronger recent Liga MX results, including wins over Toluca and Juárez in late July.[12] That kind of cross-league comparison is useful only as a rough frame: it says more about baseline team strength than about how Polymarket’s specific “More Markets” contract should resolve.[2][12]

The main catalysts are administrative, not tactical: lineup confirmation, any match postponement or format change, and whether the listed Leagues Cup fixture proceeds on the published schedule. ESPN and other live listings kept the game on the board for the stated kick-off, but the market outcome still depends on the competition’s official match status and any post-match grading that feeds Polymarket’s conditional-token settlement.[7][12] For a Polymarket user, the practical watchpoints are whether the event remains valid in the announced window, whether there are schedule changes, and whether the platform’s USDC escrowed position resolves after the relevant on-chain oracle input.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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