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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 69% Game 1 Winner 67% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $498K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Game 2 Winner69%
Game 1 Winner67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)47%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors46%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors46%
Any Player Quadra Kill46%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: deep cross gaming vs ground zero gaming (bo3) - lcp group stage stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Deep Cross Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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