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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 82% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 82% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Any Player Penta Kill 61% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $418K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon82%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon82%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Any Player Penta Kill61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
Any Player Quadra Kill56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?48%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Match Winner43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor15%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 82% probability to lol: edward gaming vs thundertalk gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Ga…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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