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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% O/U 3.5 Games 72% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $540K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Game 4 Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)36%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)16%
Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 80% YES probability for LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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