Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| San Diego FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| San Diego FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota United FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| San Diego FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| San Diego FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Diego FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| San Diego FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Minnesota United FC and San Diego FC are scheduled to meet in MLS on 1 August, and this Polymarket contract is pricing the *“More markets”* outcome at **0% YES** today, which means the market is implying no listed outcome in that sub-market has been bid up from the start. On Polymarket, users deposit **USDC** on **Polygon**, and the contract settles through **conditional tokens**, so the relevant question is not the match itself in the abstract but whether any of the extra-listed statistical or ancillary conditions are likely to resolve true by the settlement window closing at 2026-08-02T00:30:00Z.
For framing, recent Minnesota–San Diego meetings have been competitive and one-sided in both directions, which is the sort of history that can keep derivative match markets thin even when the base fixture looks live. San Diego won the 2025 play-off meeting 1-0, then Minnesota answered with a 2-1 league win in April 2026 and followed that with a 3-1 result in September 2025; the regular-season records in the ESPN listing also show both clubs finishing the 2026 season with strong but not identical profiles, San Diego at 19-6-9 and Minnesota at 16-10-8.[1][2][3][11]
The main trader catalysts are late team news, starting line-ups, and any schedule or venue confirmation that affects the conditional settlement language, because “more markets” contracts often depend on the exact stat categories posted by the event creator rather than the scoreline alone. AP’s pre-match preview noted San Diego’s attack was led by Anders Dreyer, while Minnesota were dealing with an injury absence to Carlos Harvey, so any last-minute availability update could matter more here than broad form.[6]
Methodology
This page reviews Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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