Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Arian Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Arian Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Arian Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 50% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Breece Hall: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brock Wright: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Geno Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Goff: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tay Martin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik McClain: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Jets vs. Lions - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 100% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Jets vs. Lions - Player Props on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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