Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| St Mirren FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Falkirk FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Falkirk FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| St Mirren FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St Mirren FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES**, which means traders are currently assigning no value to any listed side market resolving in the YES direction before the settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC. The underlying fixture is Falkirk v St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership, and on Polymarket the trade is made with USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, so the price reflects only what the market expects to verify on-chain, not the football scoreline in the abstract.
Recent comparable meetings show why the market can still be read as a live event contract rather than a pure form model. Falkirk beat St Mirren 2-0 in January, and St Mirren had also won 2-1 at Falkirk in September, while prior reporting noted Falkirk have generally been stronger at home and St Mirren’s away league record has been poor. That mixed head-to-head, plus the fact that earlier 2026 pricing on the teams was relatively tight in other markets, is the sort of history that can keep a “more markets” contract open to late repricing even when the headline probability sits at zero.
For traders, the main catalysts are team-sheet confirmations, any last-minute injury or rotation news, and whether the fixture proceeds on schedule without disruption, because those are the practical dependencies that affect how a sub-market settles. BBC live reporting showed the match page active on the day, which is the sort of operational update that matters for settlement timing as much as the football itself. In this structure, the key question is not whether Falkirk or St Mirren look better on paper, but whether the specific market condition tied to the contract becomes verifiable before the window shuts.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets on Polymarket Alternative UK
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