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AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $518K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.5100%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5100%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5100%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
AC Sparta Praha 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
AC Sparta Praha 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
AC Sparta Praha (-1.5)0%
Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)0%
AC Sparta Praha (-2.5)0%
Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
AC Sparta Praha O/U 2.50%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.50%
Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.50%
AC Sparta Praha 1st Half O/U 0.50%
AC Sparta Praha 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Olympique Lyonnais 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket has this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES** today, which on a Polymarket set-up means the crowd is not currently assigning any probability to a qualifying sub-market being resolved in the market’s favour. The trade settles against conditional tokens on Polygon and is denominated in USDC, so the pricing is a live read on what traders think will actually be confirmed by the contract’s rules, not a view on whether Sparta Praha or Olympique Lyonnais simply “wins” the tie.

For comparable framing, Sparta and Lyon have a long European history that has generally favoured the French side: UEFA and reporting sources note six previous meetings with Lyon unbeaten, including a 3-0 win in 2021 and a 4-3 away win in Prague the same year.[3][9][13] That record matters for how a zero-cent price can persist in a niche “more markets” contract, because these contracts often stay pinned at the extremes when the outcome depends on a specific settlement clause rather than the match result alone.[2][4]

The main catalysts for a trader are the official competition documents, any last-minute team-sheet or schedule changes, and the exact scope of the market’s settlement language before the 4 August 18:00 UTC kick-off at epet ARENA in Prague.[2][4][6] Reuters-style match reporting is not yet relevant here, but UEFA and club releases confirm this is the first leg of the Champions League third qualifying round, with the return set for 11 August and, if needed, a further play-off round later in August.[3][6][12] That means anything affecting eligibility, postponement, or whether a related “more markets” condition is triggered is more important than ordinary pre-match opinion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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