Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-7.5) vs Fnatic (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Fnatic (+6.5) | 53% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-8.5) vs Fnatic (+8.5) | 53% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Fnatic (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Etern…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Gr… on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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