Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 99% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 53% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 26% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between GIANTX and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win …
Methodology
We track Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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