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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Alternative UK.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 83% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 59% NRFI 58% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.583%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.559%
NRFI58%
O/U 9.550%
Spread -1.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.547%
O/U 10.543%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.538%
Spread -2.537%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies36%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.536%
O/U 11.534%
Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
Spread -2.519%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction market currently prices this outcome at 83% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 5 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington National…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 83% for "Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $192K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Polymarket Alternative UK

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