Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 95% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 95% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 94% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 90% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 88% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 86% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 86% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 85% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 85% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 84% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 84% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 83% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 81% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 79% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 79% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 78% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 78% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 76% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 73% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 72% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 71% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 71% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 70% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 69% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 66% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 66% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 65% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 64% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 64% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 61% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 58% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 58% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 57% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 57% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 57% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 56% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 55% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 55% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 55% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Austin Hooper: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 53% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 52% |
| Chris Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 52% |
| Skyy Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 52% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 52% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 52% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 51% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Drake London: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Muse: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Drake London: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Drake London: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Charlie Woerner: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Falcons and Packers, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props on Polymarket Alternative UK
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