Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 70% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 65% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Roschon Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Sam Roush: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Saquon Barkley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zavion Thomas: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 48% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 44% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 40% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 37% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 33% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 33% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 31% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Luther Burden III: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Britain Covey: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Darius Cooper: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Johnny Mundt: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Makai Lemon: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Sam Roush: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Saquon Barkley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Tank Bigsby: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Will Shipley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Zavion Thomas: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 27% |
| Elijah Moore: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Dallas Goedert: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Hollywood Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| D'Andre Swift: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Roschon Johnson: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Cole Kmet: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 25% |
| DeVonta Smith: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 25% |
| Jahdae Walker: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 25% |
| Rome Odunze: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 25% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 24% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 23% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 22% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 20% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 18% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 17% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 17% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Rome Odunze: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 13% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 12% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 12% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 10% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 9% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| D'Andre Swift: 2+ Touchdowns | 8% |
| Kalif Raymond: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 8% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 7% |
| Cole Kmet: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Johnny Mundt: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Tank Bigsby: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Will Shipley: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 7% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Darius Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 5% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 5% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| DeVonta Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Jahdae Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Kyle Monangai: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Britain Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Colston Loveland: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Makai Lemon: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| Roschon Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Sam Roush: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Zavion Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Cole Kmet: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Kalif Raymond: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Luther Burden III: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Rome Odunze: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Will Shipley: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Britain Covey: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darius Cooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| E.J. Jenkins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jahdae Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Johnny Mundt: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Elijah Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Bears, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
We track Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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