Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| IK Start (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IK Start (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
IK Start will face Vålerenga Fotball on 25 May 2026 in a Norway Eliteserien fixture, with kick-off scheduled for 08:30 ET. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for "More Markets," indicating traders expect additional betting options to become available on this match before settlement closes at 12:30 on the same day. This settlement window—roughly four hours after the scheduled start—creates a tight constraint for market expansion, since most secondary markets (goals, corners, player props) typically launch either weeks in advance or within the first half of play.
Historical precedent from comparable Eliteserien fixtures shows that major platforms diverge significantly on market depth. Polymarket's binary structure and lower fees (typically 2% on both sides) favour simple yes/no propositions, whilst Kalshi's US-regulated model restricts non-US participants and offers narrower event coverage. Betfair and Smarkets, by contrast, routinely list 50+ markets per match, with decimal odds allowing fractional stakes and tighter spreads. The 100% reading here may reflect traders' confidence that Smarkets or Betfair will expand their Vålerenga offering, or uncertainty about whether Polymarket itself will add secondary markets before the window closes.
Traders should monitor official Eliteserien fixture confirmations and broadcaster schedules in late May, as fixture postponements or venue changes occasionally trigger market suspensions. Fee structures matter here: Kalshi's flat-fee model and Betfair's commission-based approach produce different breakeven thresholds for arb opportunities if odds diverge across platforms.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
This page compares IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets on PolyGram
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