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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Alternative UK.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% O/U 1.5 Rounds 71% O/U 2.5 Rounds 57% Fight to Go the Distance? 51% Volume: $62K Liquidity: $188K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
O/U 2.5 Rounds57%
Fight to Go the Distance?51%
Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad37%
Fight won by KO/TKO?37%
Grad to win by KO/TKO?21%
Buzukja to win by KO/TKO?18%
Fight won by submission?12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% for "UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $62K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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