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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Rebecki to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki 0% Volume: $125K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Rebecki to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Prepolec to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Kyle Prepolec" if Kyle Prepolec is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 202…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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