Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 99% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 90% |
| Match Winner | 61% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-7.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-8.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+8.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-9.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 45% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 2GAME Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: furia esports vs 2game esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between FURIA Esports and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:0…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT… on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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