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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $338K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Match Winner60%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.552%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+7.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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