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Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury

Five-platform snapshot of "Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury 63% O/U 155.5 53% Spread -3.5 53% Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 50% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury63%
O/U 155.553%
Spread -3.553%
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.550%
Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 11.550%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 18.550%
O/U 156.549%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.549%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 2.548%
Spread -4.548%
O/U 157.547%
Monique Akoa Makani: Points O/U 9.547%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.546%
Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.546%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.546%
Spread -5.545%
O/U 158.545%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.545%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 17.543%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 19.540%
Janelle Salaün: Rebounds O/U 3.539%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.535%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.533%
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.530%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.528%
Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 12.528%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 13.527%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 63% probability to golden state valkyries vs. phoenix mercury. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 29 at 10:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury at 63% for "Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury".

Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury 63% Other 37%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury on Polymarket Alternative UK

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Related Topics

Sports