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National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams 100% Completed Match 100% National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 2 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $265K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams100%
Completed Match100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 1 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 2 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Match O/U 21.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set Handicap +/-1.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Match O/U 22.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 1 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Set 2 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: kamilla rakhimova vs venus williams stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Venus Williams in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page reviews National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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