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Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia

Five-platform snapshot of "Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.5 99% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $384K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.599%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner96%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.575%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia62%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia. This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Nicolas Mejia in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Alternative UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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