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Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova

Five-platform snapshot of "Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova 100% Completed Match 100% Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 1 Winner 100% Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $180K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova100%
Completed Match100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 1 Winner100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Match O/U 21.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Match O/U 22.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Match O/U 23.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Game Spread +/-1.5100%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 2 Winner0%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to porto: maria timofeeva vs mia pohankova. This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Mia Pohankova in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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