Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 84% |
| O/U 31.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion | 71% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 69% |
| James Madison O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| James Madison O/U 26.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 37.5 | 67% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| James Madison O/U 23.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| Old Dominion O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison vs. Old Dominion: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Old Dominion O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| O/U 47.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| O/U 45.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 30% |
| Old Dominion O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| Spread -14.5 | 29% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 55.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 18% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, james madison vs. old dominion stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and Old Dominion, scheduled for September 26 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $528K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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