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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Alternative UK.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 100% Volume: $334K Liquidity: $55K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Match Winner96%
Map 2 Winner94%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)94%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs M80 (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
O/U 2.5 Games7%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs M80 (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: liquid vs m80 (bo3) - ibuypower masters fml playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Liquid and M80 in the iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Alternative UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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