Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 207.5 | 95% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 91% |
| O/U 213.5 | 88% |
| O/U 215.5 | 85% |
| O/U 217.5 | 83% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 81% |
| Grizzlies O/U 108.5 | 81% |
| O/U 219.5 | 80% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 79% |
| O/U 221.5 | 76% |
| Grizzlies O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 75% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| O/U 223.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 73% |
| Grizzlies O/U 112.5 | 72% |
| O/U 225.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 68% |
| Kings O/U 104.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 67% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 66% |
| O/U 227.5 | 65% |
| Grizzlies O/U 114.5 | 65% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 64% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 64% |
| Kings O/U 108.5 | 63% |
| O/U 229.5 | 62% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Kings 1H O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 61% |
| Kings O/U 110.5 | 61% |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | 60% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| Grizzlies O/U 116.5 | 59% |
| O/U 231.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| Kings 1H O/U 57.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 56% |
| Race to 30 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 59.5 | 55% |
| Race to 20 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 233.5 | 54% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 54% |
| Kings O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| Race to 10 | 52% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Grizzlies O/U 118.5 | 52% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Kings 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| O/U 235.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Kings O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Kings 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 49% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Kings 1H O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| Kings O/U 118.5 | 46% |
| Kings 1H O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| Quinten Post: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| O/U 237.5 | 45% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Grizzlies O/U 120.5 | 45% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 44% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 63.5 | 44% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 43% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 43% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 42% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| O/U 239.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 65.5 | 39% |
| Grizzlies O/U 122.5 | 39% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Kings O/U 124.5 | 38% |
| O/U 241.5 | 37% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 37% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Quinten Post: Points O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Kings O/U 126.5 | 34% |
| Grizzlies O/U 124.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 243.5 | 32% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 11.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| O/U 245.5 | 28% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Grizzlies O/U 126.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 27% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| O/U 247.5 | 25% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 23% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 249.5 | 22% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Grizzlies O/U 128.5 | 22% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 251.5 | 19% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 19% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 44.5 | 18% |
| O/U 253.5 | 17% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 17% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Grizzlies O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| O/U 255.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Grizzlies O/U 132.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -18.5 | 12% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 9% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -22.5 | 8% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 8% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 6% |
| Isaiah Stewart: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -28.5 | 5% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 29.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 4% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Spread -32.5 | 3% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, grizzlies vs. kings stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 9:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $949K.
Methodology
This page reviews Grizzlies vs. Kings across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23ffffff%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23ffffff%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Grizzlies vs. Kings on Polymarket Alternative UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →